Mnóstwo spotkań NBA, to, co lubię! Czas, kiedy buki zapłaczą jest... właśnie dziś! Spójrzcie tylko na te 3, genialnie wyglądające analizy, spójrzcie również na mój dzisiejszy max kuponik. Jest dobrze i musi być dobrze! Predykcje kolegów z SBRForum:DENVER-MAGIC
Denver is back home in the Mile High City following their stinging 22-point loss to the Suns on Monday. Expect a strong showing from the Nuggets against the Orlando Magic.
The Denver Nuggets return home to host the Orlando Magic off a 22-point road loss in Phoenix on Monday.
Denver was no doubt embarrassed by allowing the Suns to score 137 points and will be looking to regain som respect they lost. The Nuggets are 6-1 ATS this season on Friday, and 3-1 ATS so far in January. Denver is 2-0 SU and ATS versus teams from the Southeast Division this season, crushing the Wizards 118-92 in Washington on Nov 9 and enjoying an easy 115-89 home win over the Heat on Dec 2.
With Orlando off a 7-point road win, look for the home team in this series to improve to 10-0 ATS here tonight.
6 pts Denver -4.5 @ 1.9
The Miami Heat are a real mess right now, as they have lost nine in a row while topping 100 points just once in those games. They are decimated by injuries, and a nicked-up Dwayne Wade alone has been unable to get them over the hump. The Hornets have gone Under in 63 percent of their games this season, and the Under is 9-1 in their last 10 games vs. the slower teams in the East. Go Under.
The Heat are a banged up club right now, as Dwayne Wade has practically carried this team by himself despite he too being nicked up. Wade scored 34 points at Milwaukee on Wednesday while no other Miami starter reached double-digits. Sure, Jason Williams has provided a nice spark off the bench, but that has not been nearly enough to spark an offense that has now failed to reach the 100-point mark in six straight games. In fact, the Heat are averaging just 91.0 points per game during their current nine-game losing streak, and if we take out their 114-point overtime performance in Orlando, they are averaging just 88.1 points in the other eight games.
The Hornets have been one of the better Under teams in the NBA this season, with the Under going 22-13, 62.9 percent in all of their games. Now, New Orleans home games are averaging 191.0 points, so their fine Under record has a lot to do with the more inflated totals when they play Western Conference teams. That is not the case here, however, as Miami is a plodding Eastern team, so the Hornets will not get caught up in a running game.
In fact, the Under is 9-1 in the Hornets’ last 10 games against the East, and we look for that pattern to continue tonight.
5 pts Under 189.5 @ 1.9
Look for Dallas to control the pace in tonight's contest in Seattle's Key Arena, and for defense to prevail. Play the Under when the Mavericks move northwest to face the Sonics. In Friday’s NBA game in Seattle featuring the Sonics hosting Dallas, the total opened at 196, and my initial take on that number is that it’s a bit too high. Seattle of course has been a sloppy team in recent years, often lacking in disciplined defense while the baskets tallied up, resulting in relatively high-scoring games. But this year, with the addition of Kevin Durant, their style has changed a bit although they are still often mistake-prone. As a result, they have trended to the Under this year, going 13-22 O/U overall and 6-10 O/U at home, according to StatFox. This stands in marked contrast to those figures from the past two years, which are 89-75 O/U overall, and 46-36 O/U at home. Dallas is also a team that is trending somewhat under in general this year at 15-18 O/U overall and 6-9 O/U on the road. They do play high-scoring games on occasion, but in general, unless they are playing a team that likes to push the pace, Mavericks games tend to be a bit more plodding and defense-oriented than the market gives them credit for. A quick glance over their games this season shows that any time a game they were in went over this posted total, it almost always involved a high-scoring team – Denver, Golden State, Phoenix – or a team that was in the midst of a high-scoring style of play at the time, like Orlando or Utah. All their other games, however, tend to see moderate totals. I think this is a game where Dallas will control the pace, play good defense, and try to keep Seattle at arms’ length and leave with a win. All in all, I’m leaning to the Under 196 here, or if you have an account at Bookmaker, 196½.
5 pts Under 196.5 @ 1.9
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6 pts Piątak @ 2.5 (Unibet)
Denver - Orlando -- 1 @ 1.52
Lakers - Milwaukee -- 1 @ 1.06
Seatle - Dallas -- 2 @ 1.21
Golden State - Memphis -- 1 @ 1.17
Houston - Minnesota -- 1 @ 1.1
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